Caracas vs Rayo Zuliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
8º
4º
36
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0% | 65.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 2
CFC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CFC
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
APC
3 - 0
DRZ
68%
19%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
AAF
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
ALC
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HFF
3 - 2
DRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
HFF
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |