Caracas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 5
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
TAC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 3
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
LAR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 0
CFC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |