Caracas vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
1 - 0
TRU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 1
YAR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CFC
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ZAM
3 - 1
LAR
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
MIN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ANZ
2 - 1
LAR
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LAR
3 - 0
MIR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |