Caracas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 2
CFC
19%
28%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 2
LAR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ZAM
3 - 3
CFC
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
MET
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
CFC
27%
31%
43%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
APC
1 - 1
DEP
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCV
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
DEP
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
DEP
2 - 1
ZUL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |