Caracas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CFC
22%
27%
51%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
CFC
4 - 0
MIN
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 2
CFC
11%
22%
67%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 0
UCV
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCV
0 - 3
CFC
12%
20%
68%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
YAR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANZ
0 - 0
DEP
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
TRU
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DEP
2 - 2
GUA
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 4
DEP
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |