Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 3
CFC
19%
28%
54%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 0
URE
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
CFC
16%
28%
56%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 0
TUC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 0
ANZ
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ANZ
1 - 1
TRU
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
ANZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ANZ
19%
26%
56%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |