Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZUL
2 - 0
CFC
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 3
LAR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
CFC
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
CFC
1 - 0
ZAM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
CFC
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANZ
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ANZ
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 0
LAR
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 1
ANZ
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |