Caracas vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
CFC
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 1
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MIN
0 - 0
CFC
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 1
CFC
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ALI
3 - 1
CIE
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CIE
1 - 2
SAM
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 1
CFC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SBO
0 - 2
CIE
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
SAO
4 - 1
CIE
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |