Caracas vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
3 - 2
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
1 - 2
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 1
CFC
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
5 - 0
CFC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 1
CFC
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
CCP
1 - 0
JUN
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |