Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
CFC
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
TAC
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
CFC
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 3
MIN
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
ZAM
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
ZUL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 3
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |