Caracas vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 1
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TRU
1 - 1
CFC
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 2
ANZ
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 0
TAC
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NOB
2 - 2
LAN
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 0
PPE
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
LAN
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 2
BOC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
LAN
2 - 1
LIB
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |