Caracas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 0
DEL
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 1
CFC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
CFC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CFC
3 - 0
ZAM
31%
27%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LAR
0 - 1
CFC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
ZUL
24%
28%
49%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
APC
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ARA
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |