Caracas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CFC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ZAM
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
LLA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 0
CFC
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
ARA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
ARA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 2
DEP
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -2 |