Caracas vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
29%
31%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ZUL
0 - 0
CFC
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
ARA
28%
29%
44%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |