Caracas vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1998 |
CFC
1 - 1
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
RIV
2 - 0
CFC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1996 |
SLO
5 - 1
CFC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1996 |
CFC
1 - 4
RIV
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1998 |
ZUL
0 - 2
AME
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1993 |
AME
1 - 0
LDA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
AME
7 - 0
RHO
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
AME
6 - 0
PIN
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1991 |
PIN
2 - 2
AME
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |