Caracas vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
3º
2º
3
3º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 6 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 3 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
CFC
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
APC
0 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 1
APC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
APC
0 - 1
TAC
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
APC
0 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
APC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DRZ
1 - 0
APC
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |