Carabobo vs Yaracuyanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
5º
4º
0
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
3 | 21 |
1º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 20 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 19 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 19 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 19 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 17 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 16 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 16 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 16 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 15 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 13 |
14º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
72% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 60% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 2
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SFE
0 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
EQU
0 - 1
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
YAR
0 - 3
APC
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
YAR
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 0
YAR
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
YAR
1 - 0
AAF
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
YAR
3 - 0
DPU
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |