Carabobo vs Yaracuyanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
APC
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
MIN
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Yaracuyanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
YAR
4 - 2
ATL
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 2
YAR
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
3 - 1
YAR
67%
20%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
YAR
0 - 0
APC
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
YAR
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |