Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 2-2
Carabobo vs Yaracuy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
LAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
81%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAC
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 1
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yaracuy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 2
CAR
7%
13%
81%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
YAR
19%
22%
59%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
YAR
3 - 2
UCV
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 5
YAR
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 2
YAR
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | +1 |