Carabobo vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRU
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
URE
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
URE
2 - 1
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
MIN
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
URE
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +2 |