Carabobo vs Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
GAL
1 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
3 - 0
MIN
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
GAL
6 - 0
UDL
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
UDL
0 - 0
MIN
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LLA
2 - 2
UDL
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
UDL
0 - 2
MON
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
UDL
0 - 1
MIR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |