Carabobo vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 3
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CAR
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
MET
32%
28%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 3
MET
21%
28%
52%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
UCV
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
UCV
1 - 1
ZAM
16%
26%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 0
UCV
74%
18%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 0
POR
26%
30%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |