Carabobo vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
3 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
MET
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
UCV
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
POR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
ANG
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |