Carabobo vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 4
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
APC
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
APC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
YAR
2 - 0
CAR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
APC
0 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
DEP
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
MET
41%
23%
36%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 2
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TRU
0 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |