Carabobo vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
MON
1 - 1
MIN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 2
CFC
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
TRU
2 - 2
MON
46%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
TAC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |