Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 1
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
MET
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MIN
4 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRU
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
50%
28%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
ANZ
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TUC
0 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
ZUL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |