Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 2
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESC
4 - 2
ANZ
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
ESC
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 2
MON
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |