Carabobo vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 2
CAR
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
3 - 1
CAR
33%
28%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ANZ
38%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
POR
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
MIR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
ESC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 3
URE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
TRU
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |