Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-0
Carabobo vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CFC
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 3
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
MIR
2 - 2
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
TRU
1 - 0
MIR
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MIR
1 - 0
CFC
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TRU
1 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |