Carabobo vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIN
22%
28%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 3
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
2 - 1
LLA
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 0
LAR
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
MIR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |