Carabobo vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LAR
2 - 2
CAR
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
TRU
3 - 0
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
YAR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
APC
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 3
DEP
20%
27%
52%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MIN
0 - 2
DEP
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 1
DEP
17%
26%
57%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DEP
3 - 0
APC
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
32%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |