Carabobo vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
MIN
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
ESC
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 2
CAR
44%
26%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
MIR
79%
16%
5%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 4
CFC
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
TRU
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +4 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
URE
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
27%
29%
45%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |