Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ZUL
2 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
APC
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 2
CAR
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
DEP
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
ARA
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 4
MON
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 1
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 3
MET
25%
30%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |