Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
APC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
LAR
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
GVA
1 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 2
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
APC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
ARA
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
GVA
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
DEP
5 - 0
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |