CAPS United vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAPS United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
KAR
2 - 1
CAP
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CAP
83%
13%
3%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
NGP
2 - 2
CAP
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
TSO
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
USM
2 - 1
ORA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
USM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
USM
43%
30%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
USM
3 - 0
CAB
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
JSK
1 - 1
USM
37%
32%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |