CAPS United vs Al Ahli Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
63.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CAPS United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAP
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
USM
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
KAR
2 - 1
CAP
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CAP
83%
13%
3%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
4 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Al Ahli Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
TRI
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
USM
3 - 0
TRI
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FUR
3 - 1
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
FUR
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
ALL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |