Cappellen vs Gent II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
45%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
15º
14º
4
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
5 | 56 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 53 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 52 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 46 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 41 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 35 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 30 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
20% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KNO
2 - 2
CAP
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 1
CAP
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
KVT
17%
23%
60%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ELS
1 - 0
CAP
23%
21%
57%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 3
KSK
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Gent II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAA
1 - 2
SPO
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 2
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OHL
0 - 2
KAA
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 2
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 1
KAA
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |