Paulista A3 Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Capivariano vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAP
21%
24%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
4 - 0
MAT
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 4
CAP
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 4
CAP
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 2
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAP
21%
24%
56%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
3 - 1
MAT
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |