Capivariano vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 1
RIO
26%
22%
53%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
SER
61%
21%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
IND
3 - 0
CAP
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 5
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
TAU
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
TAU
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
TAU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |