Capivariano vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAP
43%
25%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 1
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
CAT
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
COM
4 - 1
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
NOR
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 0
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |