Cup Paulista Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-1
Capivariano vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RBB
1 - 2
CAP
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
PRI
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
CAP
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
RBB
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
OES
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 3
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |