Capivariano vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 2
MOG
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
4 - 1
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CAP
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 2
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 2
CAP
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 0
SAO
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
OES
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |