Capivariano vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 3
CAP
26%
24%
49%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RBB
0 - 2
CAP
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 3
MIR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 3
RBB
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |