Capivariano vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AUD
3 - 0
CAP
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 3
COR
12%
26%
62%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAP
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
CAP
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CAP
1 - 2
BOT
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
XVD
44%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
RIO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 1
RIO
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
RBB
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |