Capivariano vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
CAP
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAP
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
3 - 0
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
PRI
18%
26%
56%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAT
0 - 0
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
RIO
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
JAB
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |