Capivariano vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
BAT
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
CAP
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
3 - 3
INT
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BEB
2 - 2
CAP
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 0
INT
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 1
RIO
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AUD
3 - 1
RIO
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 3
ATL
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |