Capivariano vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
3 - 1
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
CAP
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAP
41%
25%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RBB
1 - 3
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
BAT
1 - 1
RBB
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 0
SAN
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
RBB
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
RBB
3 - 1
BAT
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |