Capivariano vs Grêmio Prudente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
USA
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SER
0 - 5
CAP
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 2
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DES
0 - 0
CAP
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 0
CAP
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
DES
1 - 1
GRE
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 3
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 0
VOT
31%
26%
42%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ITA
50%
24%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |