Paulista A3 Fase Final Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Capivariano vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
CAP
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 0
BER
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |