Capivariano vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 1
BAN
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
USA
0 - 1
CAP
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 0
VOT
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAP
26%
25%
50%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
BAR
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
DES
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
DES
5 - 2
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
DES
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
DES
30%
26%
45%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |